Technical Meeting: Approaches and Tools to Setting Mitigation Scenarios

Experts from a number of PMR Countries, the World Bank, and other relevant institutions met to exchange views and compare methodologies used in constructing post-2020 mitigation scenarios, including the role of carbon pricing instruments in such scenarios. It also provided an opportunity to consult on various tools and a common framework that is being prepared by World Bank experts in support of the PMR's ongoing work on modeling and mitigation goal-setting.
Sep 25 - 26, 2014
Washington, DC
Day 1: September 25, 2014
8:30 Registration
1. Opening and Introduction
Xueman Wang, PMR Secretariat
Overview of PMR Program and Country Support
2. Status of the Technical Work in Support of Post-2020 Mitigation Scenarios
Moderator: Carter Brandon, World Bank
Ana Luiza Oliveira Champloni, Ministry of Finance, Brazil
Brazil: Establishing Reference Scenarios and Scenarios for Mid- and Long-Term Mitigation Scenarios
Liu Qiang and Fu Sha, National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation, China
Jose Manuel Sandoval, Ministry of Environment, Colombia
 Colombia: Colombian Experience in Developing an INDC on Mitigation
Francisco Sancho, Ministry of Environment and Energy, Costa Rica
Maria Elena Gutierrez, PlanCC/MAPS, Peru
Peru: Establishing Reference Scenarios and Scenarios for Mid-and Long-Term Solutions
10:45 Break
Thomas Spencer, IDDRI
Jonathan Pershing, Department of Energy, United States
12:30 Lunch
Grzegorz Peszko, World Bank
Quantifying Impact of Abatement Policies: Application of Policy MAC Curves
Christophe de Gouvello, World Bank
Marginal Abatement Cost Curves: The Concept and their Applications in the MACTool in Brazil
3. Establishing Reference Scenarios, and Scenarios for Mid- and Long-term Mitigation Scenarios
Participants discussed countries’ reference scenarios (e.g. existing policy scenario), and scenarios for achieving more ambitious mitigation targets (e.g. enhanced policy scenarios and ambitious scenarios) both at sectoral and economy-wide levels, including: (i) decomposition of scenarios: approaches, methodologies, assumptions and uncertainty, and modeling tools; (ii) policy and technology options, including consideration of carbon pricing; and (iii) costs and efforts. The sectors were: Energy, Transport, Buildings/Cities, and Forestry.
Govinda Timilsina, World Bank
Energy Sector Models and Tools for Climate Policy Analysis
15:30 Lunch
Andreas Kopp, World Bank
GHG Accounting for Mode Choice in Passenger Transport
Grzegorz Peszko, World Bank
Quantifying Impact of Policies on Energy Efficiency Improvments in Buildings: Application of MESC Curve in Bulgaria
Christophe de Gouvello, World Bank
Modeling Scenarios for Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forests: Methodology and Lessons from the Brazil Low Carbon Study
Marianne Fay, World Bank
A few Key Facts on Climate Change… And on the Implications for Mitigation Planning
18:00 Reception
End of Day 1
Day 2: September 26, 2014
3. Establishing Reference Scenarios, and Scenarios for Mid- and Long-term Mitigation Scenarios (cont)
Felix Matthes, Öko Institute
Establishing Reference Scenarios, and Scenarios for Mid- and Long-term Mitigation Scenarios
Maryla Maliszewska, World Bank
ENVISAGE: A Tool for Analyzing Economy+wide Climate Change Mitigation Scenarios
10:45 Break
4. Key Technical Inputs to INDCs
Facilitator: Xueman Wang, PMR Secretariat
David Rich, WRI
12:30 Lunch
Victor Loksha, World Bank
Introduction to ESMAP's Recent Work on Marginal Abatement Cost Methodology
Sandy Seastream, ERM
World Bank MACTool Improvement Project
5. Key Components for Common Framework and Good Practice
Participants discussed key components for a common framework for approaches and tools for mitigation scenario setting.
Grzegorz Peszko, World Bank
Maja Murisic, PMR Secretariat
PMR Support to Countries - Timeline and Next Steps
16:30 Wrap up
End of Event

Meeting Documents