Technical Meeting: Approaches and Tools to Setting Mitigation Scenarios
Experts from a number of PMR Countries, the World Bank, and other relevant institutions met to exchange views and compare methodologies used in constructing post-2020 mitigation scenarios, including the role of carbon pricing instruments in such scenarios. It also provided an opportunity to consult on various tools and a common framework that is being prepared by World Bank experts in support of the PMR's ongoing work on modeling and mitigation goal-setting.
Date:
Sep 25 - 26, 2014
Venue:
Washington, DC
Day 1: September 25, 2014 | ||
8:30 | Registration | |
1. Opening and Introduction | ||
9:00 | ||
Xueman Wang, PMR Secretariat | ||
Overview of PMR Program and Country Support | ||
2. Status of the Technical Work in Support of Post-2020 Mitigation Scenarios | ||
9:30 | ||
Moderator: Carter Brandon, World Bank | ||
Ana Luiza Oliveira Champloni, Ministry of Finance, Brazil | ||
Brazil: Establishing Reference Scenarios and Scenarios for Mid- and Long-Term Mitigation Scenarios | ||
Liu Qiang and Fu Sha, National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation, China | ||
Jose Manuel Sandoval, Ministry of Environment, Colombia | ||
Colombia: Colombian Experience in Developing an INDC on Mitigation | ||
Francisco Sancho, Ministry of Environment and Energy, Costa Rica | ||
Maria Elena Gutierrez, PlanCC/MAPS, Peru | ||
Peru: Establishing Reference Scenarios and Scenarios for Mid-and Long-Term Solutions | ||
10:45 | Break | |
11:15 | ||
Thomas Spencer, IDDRI | ||
Jonathan Pershing, Department of Energy, United States | ||
12:30 | Lunch | |
Grzegorz Peszko, World Bank | ||
Quantifying Impact of Abatement Policies: Application of Policy MAC Curves | ||
Christophe de Gouvello, World Bank | ||
Marginal Abatement Cost Curves: The Concept and their Applications in the MACTool in Brazil | ||
3. Establishing Reference Scenarios, and Scenarios for Mid- and Long-term Mitigation Scenarios | ||
Participants discussed countries’ reference scenarios (e.g. existing policy scenario), and scenarios for achieving more ambitious mitigation targets (e.g. enhanced policy scenarios and ambitious scenarios) both at sectoral and economy-wide levels, including: (i) decomposition of scenarios: approaches, methodologies, assumptions and uncertainty, and modeling tools; (ii) policy and technology options, including consideration of carbon pricing; and (iii) costs and efforts. The sectors were: Energy, Transport, Buildings/Cities, and Forestry. | ||
14:00 | ||
Govinda Timilsina, World Bank | ||
Energy Sector Models and Tools for Climate Policy Analysis | ||
15:30 | Lunch | |
15:45 | ||
Andreas Kopp, World Bank | ||
GHG Accounting for Mode Choice in Passenger Transport | ||
Grzegorz Peszko, World Bank | ||
Quantifying Impact of Policies on Energy Efficiency Improvments in Buildings: Application of MESC Curve in Bulgaria | ||
Christophe de Gouvello, World Bank | ||
Modeling Scenarios for Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forests: Methodology and Lessons from the Brazil Low Carbon Study | ||
17:00 | ||
Marianne Fay, World Bank | ||
A few Key Facts on Climate Change… And on the Implications for Mitigation Planning | ||
18:00 | Reception | |
End of Day 1 | ||
Day 2: September 26, 2014 | ||
3. Establishing Reference Scenarios, and Scenarios for Mid- and Long-term Mitigation Scenarios (cont) | ||
9:00 | ||
Felix Matthes, Öko Institute | ||
Establishing Reference Scenarios, and Scenarios for Mid- and Long-term Mitigation Scenarios | ||
Maryla Maliszewska, World Bank | ||
ENVISAGE: A Tool for Analyzing Economy+wide Climate Change Mitigation Scenarios | ||
10:45 | Break | |
4. Key Technical Inputs to INDCs | ||
11:00 | ||
Facilitator: Xueman Wang, PMR Secretariat | ||
David Rich, WRI | ||
12:30 | Lunch | |
Victor Loksha, World Bank | ||
Introduction to ESMAP's Recent Work on Marginal Abatement Cost Methodology | ||
Sandy Seastream, ERM | ||
World Bank MACTool Improvement Project | ||
5. Key Components for Common Framework and Good Practice | ||
Participants discussed key components for a common framework for approaches and tools for mitigation scenario setting. | ||
14:00 | ||
Grzegorz Peszko, World Bank | ||
16:00 | ||
Maja Murisic, PMR Secretariat | ||
PMR Support to Countries - Timeline and Next Steps | ||
16:30 | Wrap up | |
End of Event | ||